12:45: Phew. That's done. Never live blogged before and probably won't again. For one thing, I'll be at work when the Boca Raton debate happens next week. The media verdict will definitely go Obama's way for precisely the same reason the first went Romney's. In the first, Romney had to come from behind. This time, in terms of both debate success and now polling numbers, Obama had to. And he did. He stung Romney on a few occasions, most notably around foreign policy, Crowley's correction of Romney's 'act of terror' screw-up eliciting rare applause from a very well-disciplined crowd. Romney is starting to sound like a broken record, his team thinking 'well it worked last time, let's keep at it!' But for some reason they did not expect a fiery Obama, or if they did, did not counter him effectively. Obama sounded like a president, Romney sounded whiny. Many have said that Romney has a debate advantage because he's had to fight a primary season, so his debate skills are fresh. Unfortunately for Mitt, he didn't have to debate Obama during those primaries...and today it showed.
The key here is whether Obama can push the lead back out to 4%. I doubt it. What we have is a very tight race which I still think Obama will win. If the Florida debate doesn't push the recently grey states back to light blue, this will go down to the wire. The next debate is on foreign policy, which, as we've consistently seen from both Romney and Ryan, is a particularly weak suit. Expect Romney to avoid it as much as possible. Expect Obama to keep it on topic. And expect the 12th Best Election Coverage! Right here at Bigmouthery!